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Dr KK Aggarwal    29 January 2020

The case fatality rate of coronavirus so far has been the lowest

 Comparison with deadly viruses

  

Wuhan 2019- nCoV

MERS

SARS

Common cold caused by coronavirus

Detected

Dec 2019

2012, Saudi Arabia

2002 in southern China.

Winter each year

Origin

Bats, Snakes

Bats, Camel

Bats, Civets

Cases

14 countries

All cases linked to Arabian Peninsula; 80% from Saudi Arabia. Others in about two dozen countries, including U.S. Cases and deaths have been declining since 2016.

No new cases since 2004. About 87% of previous cases from China and Hong Kong.

Four coronavirus strains seem responsible for 15-30% of common colds.

India

 None

None

None

Human to human

Close contact

Close contact

Close contact

Close contact

2,494 confirmed cases; 858 deaths (as of Nov. 30, 2019).

8,098 cases; 774 deaths

Millions each year

Mortality

3%

35%

10%

Generally nonlethal with rare exceptions.

Case fatality rate

  1. 2019 coronavirus 3%
  2. MERS 35%
  3. SARS 10%
  4. Diphtheria 5-10%
  5. Polio: 2-5% children, 15-30% adults
  6. Swine flu < 0.15%
  7. Whooping cough 4% infants < 1yr, 1% children < 4 years
  8. Ebola 50%
  9. Small-pox 30-40%
  10. Measles 10-15% (developing countries)

Dr KK Aggarwal

President CMAAO, HCFI and Past National President IMA

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